Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Mushuc Runa win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.