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Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK
 

Mushuc Runa
0 - 2
LDU Quito


Carabali (36'), Santacruz (80'), Giordana (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Romero (62'), Alvarado (88')
Cruz (40'), Romero (44'), Gonzalez (54'), Guerra (64')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Mushuc Runa and LDU Quito.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Mushuc Runa
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Mushuc Runa win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
Mushuc RunaDrawLDU Quito
35.64%26.14%38.21%
Both teams to score 53.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16%50.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27%72.72%
Mushuc Runa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54%27.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05%62.95%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01%25.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99%61%
Score Analysis
    Mushuc Runa 35.64%
    LDU Quito 38.21%
    Draw 26.14%
Mushuc RunaDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 9.22%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.64%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 38.21%

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