MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:26:17| >> :60:2985:2985:
Penarol
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 2
Millonarios


Homenchenko (32'), Menosse (71'), Rodriguez (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Perlaza (54'), Cortes (65')
Llinas (49'), Castro (64')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Penarol and Millonarios.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Danubio
Saturday, April 15 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Millonarios

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Millonarios 3-0 Defensa
Wednesday, April 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawMillonarios
44.48% (-0.073 -0.07) 29.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.98% (0.052000000000003 0.05)
Both teams to score 40.45% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.27% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)65.73% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.6% (-0.028 -0.03)84.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)29.63% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)65.68% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.49% (0.025999999999996 0.03)42.51% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (0.021999999999998 0.02)78.87% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 44.48%
    Millonarios 25.98%
    Draw 29.52%
PenarolDrawMillonarios
1-0 @ 15.32%
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.52%
0-1 @ 10.77% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.61% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.98%

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