MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 16:55:24| >> :60:1048:1048:
America Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2023 at 1am UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
Penarol

America Mineiro
4 - 1
Penarol

Eder (3'), Mastriani (6', 56'), Paulista (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mansilla (76')
Hernandez (84'), Coelho (87')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between America Mineiro and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

All competitions
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Nacional
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawPenarol
54.02% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09) 23.84% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 22.13% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.17% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)48.65% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)70.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)17.92% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.27% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)48.72% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (0.053999999999995 0.05)36.43% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (0.053000000000001 0.05)73.22% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 54.02%
    Penarol 22.13%
    Draw 23.83%
America MineiroDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.65% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 54.02%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.13%

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