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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 17, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando
Atletico Tucuman

Boca Juniors
3 - 1
Tucuman

Medina (5'), Villa (11'), Soldano (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Heredia (22')
Mussis (39'), Erbes (54'), Gabriel Osores (82'), Bustos (90+1'), Ortiz (90+4')
Erbes (60')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Boca Juniors and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 17.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawAtletico Tucuman
58.62%23.56%17.82%
Both teams to score 46.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.07%52.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47%74.53%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19%17.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.47%48.53%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.45%43.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.25%79.75%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 58.6%
    Atletico Tucuman 17.82%
    Draw 23.56%
Boca JuniorsDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 11.54%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 6.64%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 0.99%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 7.75%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.45%
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-2 @ 2.68%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 17.82%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 12.45am
Gameweek 19
Boca Juniors
2-0
Tucuman
Soldano (23'), Abila (90' pen.)
Campuzano (30'), Fabra (88')

Bravo (14'), Ortiz (53'), Melano (72'), (90')
Carrera (90')
Feb 21, 2019 12am
Gameweek 15
Boca Juniors
1-2
Tucuman
Abila (61')
Tevez (10'), Nandez (36'), Benedetto (76')
Nunez (9'), Barbona (70')
Abero (14'), Nunez (51'), Diaz (63'), Aliendro (76'), San Roman (76'), Leyes (81'), Barbona (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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5Arsenal105321711618
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7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
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