Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
0 - 1
Toulouse

Abergel (70'), Meite (78'), Kalulu (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aboukhlal (68')
Sierro (51'), Spierings (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

In a mid-table encounter, there may not be much between the two sides, with the added sub-plot of Toulouse's cup final to come next week possibly on their minds. Only one of the last 16 meetings between these sides have seen more than two goals, and this encounter looks set to follow a similar pattern. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Toulouse
32.07% ( -0.72)	25.3% ( -0.15)	42.63% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 55.66% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08% (

0.41)

47.92% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9% (

0.38)

70.09% (

-0.38)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74% (

-0.26)

28.26% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03% (

-0.32)

63.97% (

0.32)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59% (

0.59)

22.41% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07% (

0.88)

55.93% (

-0.89)

Score Analysis

Lorient 32.07%

Toulouse 42.63%

Draw 25.3%

Lorient	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 8% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.07%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.63%