Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Lorient0 - 1Toulouse
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lorient 1-1 Toulouse
In a mid-table encounter, there may not be much between the two sides, with the added sub-plot of Toulouse's cup final to come next week possibly on their minds. Only one of the last 16 meetings between these sides have seen more than two goals, and this encounter looks set to follow a similar pattern. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Toulouse |
32.07% ( -0.72) | 25.3% ( -0.15) | 42.63% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( 0.41) | 47.92% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( 0.38) | 70.09% ( -0.38) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( -0.26) | 28.26% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.03% ( -0.32) | 63.97% ( 0.32) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( 0.59) | 22.41% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.07% ( 0.88) | 55.93% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 32.07%
Toulouse 42.63%
Draw 25.3%
| Lorient | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.07% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.63% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Toulouse
Lorient
61.9%Draw
28.6%Toulouse
9.5%21
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Toulouse
3-2
Lorient
Moukandjo (27'), Waris (90')
Apr 16, 2016 7pm
