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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 2, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Toulouse

Brest
3 - 1
Toulouse

Mounie (33'), Le Douaron (63'), Camara (84')
Lala (4'), Lees-Melou (30')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dallinga (10')
Desler (25'), Spierings (30'), Aboukhlal (60'), Rouault (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Brest
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Lille
Saturday, March 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Toulouse

 Toulouse have been stronger on the road than at home recently, but the upcoming cup semi could prove to be a distraction. Brest are scrapping for points, and they have been hard to come by against Toulouse, but after two very challenging home games, they may fare better here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawToulouse
33.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.3% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 41.79% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.77% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.16% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)42.84% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.76% (-0.171 -0.17)65.24% (0.179 0.18)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)24.68% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.117 -0.12)59.21% (0.125 0.13)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)20.65% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.136 -0.14)53.22% (0.144 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brest 33.91%
    Toulouse 41.79%
    Draw 24.3%
BrestDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 7.87%
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.91%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 41.79%

How you voted: Brest vs Toulouse

Brest
34.6%
Draw
21.2%
Toulouse
44.2%
52
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Toulouse
1-1
Brest
Aboukhlal (65')
Dejaegere (42'), Rouault (57')
Mounie (18')
Brassier (37'), Lees-Melou (38')
Jan 11, 2020 7pm
Toulouse
2-5
Brest
Diakite (16', 21')
Vainqueur (84')
Court (7'), Charbonnier (72', 77'), Mbock (79'), Cardona (85')
Aug 10, 2019 7pm
Brest
1-1
Toulouse
Autret (25')
Koulouris (89')
Mar 9, 2013 7pm
Brest
0-1
Toulouse

Kantari (43')
Rabiot (45')
M'Bengue (6'), Ben Basat (39'), Capoue (70')
> Match Report
Oct 27, 2012 7pm
Toulouse
3-1
Brest
Capoue (40'), Yedder (29'), Regattin (90')
Aurier (59')
Lesoimier (75')
Chafni (61'), Lesoimier (85')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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