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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Toulouse

Montpellier
1 - 2
Toulouse

Wahi (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dallinga (31'), Chaibi (85')
Genreau (58'), van den Boomen (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Montpellier
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Annecy 1-2 Toulouse
Thursday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Toulouse

 In an often high-scoring fixture, there have been 18 goals scored in the last five meetings between the sides, including a 4-2 win for Toulouse in the reverse earlier this season. However, Montpellier's resurgence has been phenomenal, and they may well continue their hot streak with another win over a side who could be focusing more on the cup final to come in a few weeks' time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
33.04% (0.54 0.54) 24.06% (-0.044 -0.04) 42.9% (-0.496 -0.5)
Both teams to score 60.37% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.392 0.39)41.93% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.394 0.39)64.34% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (0.509 0.51)24.76% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (0.706 0.71)59.32% (-0.707 -0.71)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)19.76% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)51.81% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 33.04%
    Toulouse 42.9%
    Draw 24.05%
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.078 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.83% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.04%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 42.9%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Toulouse

Montpellier HSC
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Toulouse
11.1%
45
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Desler (15')
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
May 23, 2020 7pm
Toulouse
P-P
Montpellier
Nov 10, 2019 4pm
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Laborde (43'), Le Tallec (59'), Savanier (75')
Chotard (34'), Sambia (87')

Sangare (39'), Vainqueur (41')
Apr 14, 2019 2pm
Montpellier
2-1
Toulouse
Skhiri (54'), Camara (77')
Mendes (51'), Mollet (63')
Sidibe (67')
Jullien (86')
Oct 27, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
0-3
Montpellier

Durmaz (22'), Jean (90')
Laborde (21'), Delort (24'), Reynet (90' og.)
Delort (1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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