Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 86.05%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Babelsberg had a probability of 4.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 0-4 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.44%), while for a Babelsberg win it was 2-1 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
