MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 15:14:46| >> :600:976193:976193:
Leverkusen logo
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
BayArena
Paderborn logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
SC Paderborn

Okoh Boniface (12'), Palacios (28'), Schick (87')
Hincapie (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Klaas (83')
Bilbija (45'), Kinsombi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Dortmund
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-0 Hannover
Sunday, December 3 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 SC Paderborn

SC Paderborn pulled off a major upset on their travels in the second round, but we do not see them managing the same again against a Bayer Leverkusen side who are yet to lose a competitive game this term. Even with rotations anticipated, Alonso's men should certainly have the quality to progress to the quarter-finals on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a SC Paderborn win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSC Paderborn
66.97% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05) 17.55% (0.134 0.13) 15.48% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.95% (-0.793 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.88% (-0.881 -0.88)30.11% (0.882 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.67% (-1.068 -1.07)51.33% (1.068 1.07)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.64% (-0.238 -0.24)8.36% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.9% (-0.598 -0.6)29.1% (0.597 0.6)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (-0.68600000000001 -0.69)32.4% (0.685 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (-0.781 -0.78)68.91% (0.78 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 66.97%
    SC Paderborn 15.48%
    Draw 17.55%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSC Paderborn
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.9% (0.107 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.256 0.26)
4-1 @ 4.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.38% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.28% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.72% (-0.094 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.055 -0.05)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 66.97%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.71% (0.133 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 4.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 15.48%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn

Bayer Leverkusen
90.2%
Draw
2.4%
SC Paderborn
7.3%
41
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 18
SC Paderborn
1-4
B. Leverkusen
Srbeny (51')
Vasiliadis (22'), Gjasula (35'), Sabiri (73'), Gueye (76')
Volland (11', 14'), Baumgartlinger (36'), Havertz (75')
Havertz (90')
Oct 29, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
B. Leverkusen
1-0
SC Paderborn
Alario (26')
Weiser (70')

Gjasula (40')
Aug 17, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
B. Leverkusen
3-2
SC Paderborn
Bailey (10'), Havertz (19'), Volland (69')
Wendell (26'), Dragovic (62')
Michel (15'), Mamba (25')
Mar 8, 2015 4.30pm
Oct 4, 2014 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
SC Paderborn
Bender (42'), Bellarabi (90')
Jedvaj (24'), Bender (44'), Son (53')
Koc (20'), Stoppelkamp (87')
Hunemeier (6'), Bruckner (80'), Rupp (93')
Bakalorz (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!