MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 14:31:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Stach (56'), Weghorst (58')
Weghorst (45+3'), Kabak (48'), Promel (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wirtz (9'), Grimaldo (45+1', 70')
Hradecky (72'), Tah (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Hoffenheim's chances of winning will significantly increase should Kramaric return to start as expected, but they have actually performed better on the road this season, with 15 of their 18 points coming on their travels. Likewise, Leverkusen have gained 10 points from four away games, and they will be confident of making it six wins in a row in the Bundesliga as they attempt to extend their lead at the summit. We expect them to do so in what should be an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
19.86% (-4.467 -4.47) 20.16% (-2.061 -2.06) 59.98% (6.53 6.53)
Both teams to score 61.31% (0.971 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.03% (4.145 4.15)34.97% (-4.142 -4.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.04% (4.485 4.49)56.96% (-4.482 -4.48)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-1.531 -1.53)30.79% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-1.847 -1.85)67.07% (1.85 1.85)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (3.293 3.29)11.4% (-3.29 -3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (6.708 6.71)36.17% (-6.705 -6.71)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 19.86%
    Bayer Leverkusen 59.98%
    Draw 20.16%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.937 -0.94)
1-0 @ 4.14% (-1.146 -1.15)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.81 -0.81)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-0 @ 0.96% (-0.374 -0.37)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 19.86%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-1.149 -1.15)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.787 -0.79)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.28% (0.372 0.37)
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.62 -0.62)
1-3 @ 7.06% (0.845 0.85)
0-3 @ 5.99% (0.937 0.94)
2-3 @ 4.16% (0.338 0.34)
1-4 @ 3.83% (0.852 0.85)
0-4 @ 3.25% (0.829 0.83)
2-4 @ 2.26% (0.425 0.43)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.521 0.52)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.482 0.48)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.277 0.28)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 59.98%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
6.3%
Draw
6.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
87.5%
64
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Nsoki (77')
Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
B. Leverkusen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
Apr 12, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern44001631312
2Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen430113949
4Freiburg43018449
5Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin42204228
7RB Leipzig42204228
8Stuttgart421112847
9Heidenheim42028716
10Mainz 05Mainz41218805
11Werder Bremen412148-45
12Augsburg4112710-34
13Wolfsburg410389-13
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach410358-33
15Hoffenheim4103611-53
16St Pauli401316-51
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81


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