DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Waldstadion Homburg
FC 08 Homburg1 - 4St Pauli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Pauli 2-2 Hamburger SV
Friday, December 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Friday, December 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
We said: FC 08 Homburg 1-2 St Pauli
Homburg have already shown this season that they have the players capable of troubling sides in the top two divisions. As a result, we expect the fourth-tier outfit to put up another strong showing, but we believe that St Pauli's extra quality will be pivotal in the end, which is why we think that they will do enough to squeeze through to the quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for FC 08 Homburg had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a FC 08 Homburg win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
Result | ||
FC 08 Homburg | Draw | St Pauli |
9.93% (![]() | 14.72% (![]() | 75.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.31% (![]() | 30.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.98% (![]() | 52.01% (![]() |
FC 08 Homburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.93% (![]() | 41.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.38% (![]() | 77.61% (![]() |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.19% (![]() | 6.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.89% (![]() | 25.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC 08 Homburg 9.93%
St Pauli 75.34%
Draw 14.72%
FC 08 Homburg | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 2.98% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 9.93% | 1-1 @ 6.69% (![]() 2-2 @ 4% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 14.72% | 0-2 @ 10.09% (![]() 0-3 @ 9.04% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 8.05% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 3.98% Total : 75.34% |
How you voted: FC 08 Homburg vs St Pauli
FC 08 Homburg
13.9%Draw
8.3%St Pauli
77.8%36
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-04-03 23:35:03

Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 73 |
2 | Arsenal | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 61 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 57 |
4 | Chelsea | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 51 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Aston Villa | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 48 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
9 | Fulham | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 45 |
10 | Bournemouth | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 44 |
11 | Brentford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 41 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 40 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 34 |
15 | Everton | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 34 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 34 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 29 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 20 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 67 | -42 | 17 |
20 | Southampton | 30 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 10 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1

Derby delight: Fernandez steers Chelsea past London rivals
2

Chelsea, Spurs starting lineups confirmed: Palmer, Madueke, Jackson decisions made
3

Arouca vs. Famalicao - prediction, team news, lineups
4

Salt Lake vs. LA Galaxy - prediction, team news, lineups
5

Ipswich vs. Wolves - prediction, team news, lineups
6

Mallorca vs. Celta Vigo - prediction, team news, lineups
7

Cherries star 'wanted at Old Trafford' as Man United 'join the hunt' for £50m-rated ace
8

Barcelona vs. Betis - prediction, team news, lineups
9

Crystal Palace vs. Brighton - prediction, team news, lineups
10

Arteta needs Ranieri failure to capture £33.7m 'defensive target'

Sport News 24/7