MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 23:40:55| >> :600:93884:93884:
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Waldstadion Homburg

FC 08 Homburg
1 - 4
St Pauli

Mendler (28')
Eisele (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wahl (24'), Saad (64'), Hartel (69'), Eggestein (73')
Smith (27'), Ritzka (42'), Saad (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between FC 08 Homburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: FC 08 Homburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: St Pauli 2-2 Hamburger SV
Friday, December 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: FC 08 Homburg 1-2 St Pauli

Homburg have already shown this season that they have the players capable of troubling sides in the top two divisions. As a result, we expect the fourth-tier outfit to put up another strong showing, but we believe that St Pauli's extra quality will be pivotal in the end, which is why we think that they will do enough to squeeze through to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for FC 08 Homburg had a probability of 9.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a FC 08 Homburg win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
FC 08 HomburgDrawSt Pauli
9.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 14.72% (0.032 0.03) 75.34% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.31% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)30.69% (0.139 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.98% (-0.169 -0.17)52.01% (0.166 0.17)
FC 08 Homburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.93% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)41.07% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)77.61% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.19% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)6.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.89% (-0.107 -0.11)25.1% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    FC 08 Homburg 9.93%
    St Pauli 75.34%
    Draw 14.72%
FC 08 HomburgDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 2.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
2-0 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 9.93%
1-1 @ 6.69% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.8% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.72%
0-2 @ 10.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 9.04% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 8.05% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 6.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 5.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 3.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 75.34%

How you voted: FC 08 Homburg vs St Pauli

FC 08 Homburg
13.9%
Draw
8.3%
St Pauli
77.8%
36
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham3012994440445
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!