MX23RW : Monday, November 25 10:26:24| >> :600:1045291:1045291:
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Waldstadion Homburg

FC 08 Homburg
1 - 4
St Pauli

Mendler (28')
Eisele (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wahl (24'), Saad (64'), Hartel (69'), Eggestein (73')
Smith (27'), Ritzka (42'), Saad (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between FC 08 Homburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: FC 08 Homburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: St Pauli 2-2 Hamburger SV
Friday, December 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: FC 08 Homburg 1-2 St Pauli

Homburg have already shown this season that they have the players capable of troubling sides in the top two divisions. As a result, we expect the fourth-tier outfit to put up another strong showing, but we believe that St Pauli's extra quality will be pivotal in the end, which is why we think that they will do enough to squeeze through to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for FC 08 Homburg had a probability of 9.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a FC 08 Homburg win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
FC 08 HomburgDrawSt Pauli
9.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 14.72% (0.032 0.03) 75.34% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.31% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)30.69% (0.139 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.98% (-0.169 -0.17)52.01% (0.166 0.17)
FC 08 Homburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.93% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)41.07% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)77.61% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.19% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)6.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.89% (-0.107 -0.11)25.1% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    FC 08 Homburg 9.93%
    St Pauli 75.34%
    Draw 14.72%
FC 08 HomburgDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 2.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
2-0 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 9.93%
1-1 @ 6.69% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.8% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.72%
0-2 @ 10.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 9.04% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 8.05% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 6.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 5.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 3.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 75.34%

How you voted: FC 08 Homburg vs St Pauli

FC 08 Homburg
13.9%
Draw
8.3%
St Pauli
77.8%
36
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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