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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 4, 2025 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
0 - 2
Middlesbrough


Gueye (23'), Buckley (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Conway (2'), Iling-Junior (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 0-1 Middlesbrough

Blackburn have beaten Middlesbrough twice this season, with two 1-0 victories in both the league and the FA Cup. However, we think that Boro will get their revenge for those defeats with a narrow victory at Ewood Park on Friday evening, as Rovers are in poor form of late, while the visitors appear to be back in form following a bad run of their own earlier in the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
32.39% (0.399 0.4) 26.19% (0.36 0.36) 41.41% (-0.765 -0.77)
Both teams to score 52.84% (-1.025 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.38% (-1.387 -1.39)51.61% (1.381 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59% (-1.219 -1.22)73.4% (1.214 1.21)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)29.88% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (-0.517 -0.52)65.97% (0.511 0.51)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-1.001 -1)24.63% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (-1.42 -1.42)59.14% (1.415 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 32.39%
    Middlesbrough 41.41%
    Draw 26.18%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.381 0.38)
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.39%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 10.31% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.41%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
Draw
Middlesbrough
Blackburn Rovers
27.7%
Draw
22.9%
Middlesbrough
49.4%
83
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 12pm
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
0-0
Blackburn
Latte Lath (31'), Ayling (57'), Greenwood (90')
Wharton (31'), Hedges (81'), Ayari (89')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
2-1
Middlesbrough
Szmodics (31', 49')
Carter (28')
Crooks (55')
Lenihan (40'), Hackney (88')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Blackburn
1-2
Middlesbrough
Hedges (5')
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds422513482295388
2Burnley422416257134488
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd42267957332483
4Sunderland422113857381976
5Bristol City421616105445964
6Coventry CityCoventry41188155853562
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4214181051391260
8Middlesbrough421791661511060
9Millwall421612144141060
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn42168184545056
11Watford42168185055-556
12Swansea CitySwansea42159184551-654
13Norwich CityNorwich421314156358553
14Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds421411175664-853
15Queens Park RangersQPR421214164955-650
16Preston North EndPreston421019134351-849
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd421212184360-1748
18Stoke CityStoke421114174354-1147
19Portsmouth421210205066-1646
20Hull City411111194049-944
21Derby CountyDerby421110214454-1043
22Cardiff CityCardiff42915184566-2142
23Luton TownLuton421010223763-2640
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth42913204482-3840


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