Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and SBV Excelsior.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MVV 1-2 Emmen
Friday, March 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, March 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Excelsior 3-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, March 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
58
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
26.12% ( 1.1) | 21.94% ( 0.21) | 51.94% ( -1.31) |
| Both teams to score 63.35% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.98% ( 0.05) | 36.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.88% ( 0.05) | 58.13% ( -0.05) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( 0.83) | 26.25% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.64% ( 1.1) | 61.36% ( -1.09) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( -0.39) | 14.11% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.26% ( -0.78) | 41.74% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
MVV Maastricht 26.12%
SBV Excelsior 51.94%
Draw 21.94%
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.25% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 4.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 51.94% |
How you voted: MVV vs Excelsior
MVV Maastricht
20.0%Draw
0.0%SBV Excelsior
80.0%5
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 11
Excelsior
3-2
MVV
Fini (35'), Van Duinen (87' pen.), Armantrading (90+2')
Naujoks (69'), Seymor (81'), van Duinen (88')
Naujoks (69'), Seymor (81'), van Duinen (88')
Apr 15, 2022 7pm
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
Feb 20, 2021 3.30pm
Oct 16, 2020 8pm
