MX23RW : Friday, May 9 14:32:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nantes

Nice
1 - 2
Nantes

Abdi (14')
Bombito (28')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Douglas (11'), Abline (38')
Sow (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Nice
Saturday, March 29 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 2-1 Nantes

Nice's form has tailed off at the worst possible time, with just one point taken from a possible nine during March, but this fixture does provide them with an excellent opportunity to move level on points with second-placed Monaco. Away form has been a big problem of late for Nantes, as they have lost three in a row, conceding 12 in the process, and even though they have won on two of their last three visits here, it is tough to see them repeating the feat again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawNantes
59.74% (0.327 0.33) 21.74% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 18.52% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 53.24% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56% (-0.806 -0.81)44.44% (0.806 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.19% (-0.785 -0.79)66.81% (0.786 0.79)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)14.48% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54% (-0.318 -0.32)42.46% (0.318 0.32)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-0.885 -0.88)37.75% (0.88500000000001 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (-0.872 -0.87)74.52% (0.871 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Nice 59.74%
    Nantes 18.52%
    Draw 21.74%
NiceDrawNantes
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.231 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.57% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 59.74%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 18.52%

How you voted: Nice vs Nantes

Nice
Draw
Nantes
Nice
81.3%
Draw
15.0%
Nantes
3.8%
80
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 8
Nantes
1-1
Nice
Abline (67')
Zeze (33'), Chirivella (38')
Guessand (72')
Clauss (89')
Mar 31, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 27
Nice
1-2
Nantes
Moffi (72' pen.)
Lotomba (58'), Laborde (90+8')
Abline (19'), Mohamed (77' pen.)
Cozza (51'), Comert (52'), Chirivella (58'), Abline (78'), Coco (90+1')
Dec 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Nantes
1-0
Nice
Mollet (25')
Castelletto (18'), Duverne (61'), Chirivella (89')
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Nantes
2-2
Nice
Sissoko (31'), Mohamed (88')
Moffi (5'), Ndayishimiye (71')
Oct 23, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 12
Nice
1-1
Nantes
Pepe (90+6' pen.)
Ganago (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG32246285335278
2Marseille32185967442359
3MonacoMonaco32177861372458
4Nice32169760392157
5Lille32169750331757
6StrasbourgStrasbourg32169753391457
7Lyon321661063441954
8Lens32146123738-148
9Brest32145135053-347
10Auxerre32118134647-141
11Rennes32122184746138
12Toulouse32108144040038
13Reims3289153243-1133
14Angers3296173050-2033
15NantesNantes32711143551-1632
16Le HavreLe Havre3294193666-3031
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3276193574-3927
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3244242272-5016


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