EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

St Andrew's

Birmingham
1 - 0
Colchester

Oakley (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

(77'), Sarpong-Wiredu (90')

Lee Bowyer relieved to progress but says fringe players failed to take chance

Marcel Oakley's 76th-minute debut goal clinched victory for the Sky Bet Championship side.

Aug 10, 22:49

The Match

Match Report

Oakley's deflected shot in the 76th minute finally saw off the League Two side.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Birmingham City and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Colchester United
32.12%	28.77%	39.11%

Both teams to score 45.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.64%

61.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.74%

81.26%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91%

35.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16%

71.84%

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.48%

30.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.26%

66.73%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 32.12%

Colchester United 39.11%

Draw 28.76%

Birmingham City	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.14% Total : 32.12%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.76%	0-1 @ 12.71% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.11%