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Stoke logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Stoke
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Rose (54')
Thompson (18'), Bae (33'), Manhoef (45+4'), Johansson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bennett (90+1')
Helm (28'), Mayor (45+4'), Bolton (57')
Stoke win 2-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Fleetwood Town

Given that Fleetwood have already beaten two sides from higher divisions in the EFL Cup this season, it would not be surprising if they were to do so again on Tuesday. Additionally, if Stoke field a similarly youthful XI to the one that beat Middlesbrough, the visitors could look to take advantage of their hosts' inexperience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%).

Result
Stoke CityDrawFleetwood Town
50.38% (-1.289 -1.29) 23.47% (0.16 0.16) 26.14% (1.132 1.13)
Both teams to score 57.9% (0.58600000000001 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79% (0.261 0.26)43.21% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39% (0.257 0.26)65.61% (-0.256 -0.26)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (-0.38000000000001 -0.38)17.25% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (-0.669 -0.67)47.56% (0.668 0.67)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97% (1.027 1.03)30.03% (-1.026 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (1.218 1.22)66.15% (-1.217 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 50.38%
    Fleetwood Town 26.14%
    Draw 23.47%
Stoke CityDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.115 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.211 0.21)
0-1 @ 6.23% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 26.14%

How you voted: Stoke vs Fleetwood

Stoke City
64.4%
Draw
12.2%
Fleetwood Town
23.3%
90
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Stoke
1-1
Fleetwood
Campbell (36')
Batty (63')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Stoke
2-1
Fleetwood
Surridge (45'), Souttar (77')
Chester (90+4' og.)
Batty (33'), Hill (65'), Matete (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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