MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:06:22| >> :600:1098046:1098046:
Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup
Middlesbrough logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 5
Stoke

FT(HT: 0-1)
Tezgel (14'), Mmaee (57'), Koumas (60'), Manhoef (65', 69')
McCabe (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City

 This is a tricky game to call, as both managers will make changes on Tuesday, and it is a match that could go either way. Middlesbrough will be able to call upon home advantage, though, and we are backing Carrick's team to navigate their way into the third round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
42.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.55% (0.0010000000000012 0) 31.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)49.05% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.012 -0.01)71.13% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)28.88% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)64.74% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 42.46%
    Stoke City 31.98%
    Draw 25.55%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.46%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.98%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
76.7%
Draw
13.6%
Stoke City
9.7%
103
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stoke
2-0
Middlesbrough
Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')

Latte Lath (51')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
> Preview
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
> Preview
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!