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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Crawley Town

MK Dons
1 - 5
Crawley

Dean (45+1')
Williams (61'), Williams (83'), Dean (90+5'), Williams (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Williams (3'), Orsi (30', 48', 90+2'), Roles (80')
Lolos (40'), Tucker (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.30pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.30pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 3-1 Crawley Town (Crawley Town win 4-3 on aggregate)

 Considering MK Dons' stellar record on home turf this season, it is hard to imagine the Dons failing to stage some level of comeback this weekend. That being said, Crawley have put themselves in an excellent position to advance into the Wembley final, and we reckon that the Red Devils will narrowly get over the line in Buckinghamshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
48.61% (0.0049999999999955 0) 22.19% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.2% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.22% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)34.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.26% (-0.012 -0.01)56.74% (0.012 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)43% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)57.63% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 48.61%
    Crawley Town 29.2%
    Draw 22.19%
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.07%
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crawley

MK Dons
57.5%
Draw
17.5%
Crawley Town
25.0%
40
Head to Head
May 7, 2024 7.30pm
Crawley
3-0
MK Dons
Kelly (5'), Williams (45+1'), Darcy (65')
Maguire (51'), Conroy (66'), Gordon (90+3')

Tomlinson (41'), Bate (45'), Harvie (57')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Tomlinson (2'), Gilbey (82')
Dean (17'), Grant (18'), Gilbey (61')

Maguire (7'), Lindsey (8')
Maguire (85')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crawley
2-1
MK Dons
Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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