EFL Trophy | Second Round

Dec 12, 2023 at 7pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 0
Lincoln

Longelo-Mbule (90+3')
Henderson (23'), Woods (43')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duffy (73'), Roughan (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Accrington Stanley and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Lincoln City
39.49% ( 0.02)	26.37% ( -0)	34.14% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.72% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.02% (

0.02)

51.98% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.28% (

0.02)

73.72% (

-0.02)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19% (

0.02)

25.81% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.23% (

0.02)

60.77% (

-0.03)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.07% (

-0)

28.93% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.18% (

-0)

64.81% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 39.49%

Lincoln City 34.14%

Draw 26.37%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.49%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.14%