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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Swindon Town

Accrington
3 - 4
Swindon

Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
37.18% (-0.128 -0.13) 23.71% (0.09 0.09) 39.11% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.56% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.55% (-0.453 -0.45)39.44% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21% (-0.474 -0.47)61.79% (0.479 0.48)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)21.37% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (-0.412 -0.41)54.34% (0.418 0.42)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.172 -0.17)20.43% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (-0.281 -0.28)52.88% (0.287 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 37.18%
    Swindon Town 39.11%
    Draw 23.71%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.11%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
Feb 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Kee (25' pen.), Jackson (62')
Clark (48'), McConville (75'), Kee (90')
Richards (71' pen.)
Dunne (46'), Purkiss (49'), Lancashire (66'), Banks (78')
Gordon (74')
Feb 25, 2012 3pm
Swindon
2-0
Accrington
Benson (8', 29')
Devera (62')

Lindfield (34'), Devitt (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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