Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Derby County and Lincoln City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Lincoln City |
55.39% ( -1.97) | 24.24% ( 1.09) | 20.37% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( -1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
