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Burton Albion
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
3 - 1
Leicester U21s

Bennett (68'), Sweeney (83'), Orsi (84')
Gilligan (29'), Delap (32'), Bennett (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Richards (57')
Wormleighton (64')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Burton Albion and Leicester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 3-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One

Leicester City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester U21s 1-2 Saints U21s
Friday, August 16 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 53.42%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLeicester City Under-21s
53.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 21.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.84% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.67% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.68% (0.164 0.16)36.32% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.55% (0.177 0.18)58.45% (-0.177 -0.18)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.26% (0.034999999999997 0.03)13.74% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.99% (0.075000000000003 0.08)41.01% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Leicester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (0.146 0.15)27.35% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19% (0.189 0.19)62.8% (-0.189 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 53.42%
    Leicester City Under-21s 24.84%
    Draw 21.75%
Burton AlbionDrawLeicester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.12% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.0039999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 53.42%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 24.84%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Burton Albion
4-2
Leicester U21s
Ahadme (4', 7'), Adeboyejo (9'), Powell (12')
de Castro (73')
de Castro (90+4')
Maswanhise (38'), Fitzhugh (39')
Hughes (69'), Wormleighton (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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