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League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Burton Albion

Fleetwood
3 - 0
Burton Albion

Johnston (17'), Patterson (31'), Lonergan (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennett (23'), Helm (25'), Sweeney (85'), Scott (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Reading
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-3 Burton Albion

Burton Albion have been victorious in all of their last three visits to Highbury Stadium by single-goal margins, and with Fleetwood having little to play for after their relegation was confirmed last weekend, we expect that to be the case once again in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
43.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 26.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 30.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)53.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9% (0.011000000000003 0.01)75.09% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (0.0039999999999907 0)24.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)69.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 43.48%
    Burton Albion 30.03%
    Draw 26.48%
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 43.48%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.03%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Burton Albion

Fleetwood Town
10.0%
Draw
10.0%
Burton Albion
80.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Burton Albion
1-1
Fleetwood
Powell (17')
Crocombe (42'), Walker (80')
Quitirna (19')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Fleetwood
2-3
Burton Albion
Stockley (58'), Omochere (90+4')
Oshilaja (60'), Hamer (80'), Kirk (90+6')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Burton Albion
3-2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Burton Albion
Garner (12')
Clarke (70')
Powell (14'), Jebbison (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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