FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bristol Rovers1 - 0Rochdale
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 4-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Rochdale
The League One side should have enough quality to beat Rochdale, especially if Aaron Collins starts the game. Rochdale will be hoping they can keep things tight and cause an upset in this fixture, but we expect them to fall short. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
52.67% ( 0.1) | 23.18% ( -0.02) | 24.14% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.78% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
