Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.
