EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
The New Lawn
Forest Green4 - 1Exeter
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Forest Green Rovers and Exeter City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Forest Green
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
32.42% ( -1.05) | 24.76% ( 0.08) | 42.82% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( -0.68) | 45.38% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( -0.65) | 67.72% ( 0.65) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( -0.97) | 26.79% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.92% ( -1.29) | 62.08% ( 1.29) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.16) | 21.24% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.85% ( 0.25) | 54.15% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers 32.42%
Exeter City 42.82%
Draw 24.75%
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
| 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.42% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.82% |
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 12.30pm
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Exeter
0-0
Forest Green
Ray (41')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Dec 26, 2020 1pm
Form Guide
