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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Oxford United

Exeter
2 - 4
Oxford Utd

Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Collins (11'), Sweeney (30'), Stansfield (69')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Brannagan (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 4-2 Exeter
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Oxford United

Although Exeter lost their previous fixture against Charlton, Oxford are expected to be an easier opponent, who are lacking confidence at the moment. The attacking threat of the Exeter front line should be enough to win this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
43.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 26.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 30.07% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.9% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)23.7% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.07 -0.07)57.82% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)31.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.8%
    Oxford United 30.07%
    Draw 26.13%
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.8%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Exeter vs Oxford Utd

Exeter City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
Exeter win 3-0 on penalties

Tillson (30')

Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Lundstram (48'), Baldock (67'), Sercombe (90')
Dunkley (36'), MacDonald (42'), Baldock (43')

Nicholls (42'), Tillson (43'), Holmes (72'), Watkins (77')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-2
Exeter
Hylton (18'), Roberts (92')
Davies (37'), Nicholls (88')
Noble (44')
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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