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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Oxford United

Exeter
2 - 4
Oxford Utd

Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Collins (11'), Sweeney (30'), Stansfield (69')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Brannagan (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 4-2 Exeter
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Oxford United

Although Exeter lost their previous fixture against Charlton, Oxford are expected to be an easier opponent, who are lacking confidence at the moment. The attacking threat of the Exeter front line should be enough to win this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
43.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 26.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 30.07% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.9% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)23.7% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.07 -0.07)57.82% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)31.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.8%
    Oxford United 30.07%
    Draw 26.13%
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.8%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Exeter vs Oxford Utd

Exeter City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
Exeter win 3-0 on penalties

Tillson (30')

Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Lundstram (48'), Baldock (67'), Sercombe (90')
Dunkley (36'), MacDonald (42'), Baldock (43')

Nicholls (42'), Tillson (43'), Holmes (72'), Watkins (77')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-2
Exeter
Hylton (18'), Roberts (92')
Davies (37'), Nicholls (88')
Noble (44')
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
7Barnsley74121210213
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
10Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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