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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 9, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Mainz logo

Frankfurt
1 - 1
Mainz 05

Hrustic (86')
Kostic (30'), Hrustic (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Onisiwo (11')

Preview: Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Mainz 05 - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Eintracht Frankfurt take on Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Sunday, with the visitors looking to extend their unbeaten run to nine matches as they attempt to move further clear of the relegation zone.

Frankfurt, meanwhile, may need to win in order to remain in the Champions League qualification places.


Match preview

Andre Silva in action for Eintracht Frankfurt on April 10, 2021© Reuters

Frankfurt will be casting a watchful eye on how Borussia Dortmund fare against title-chasing RB Leipzig on Saturday, with Edin Terzic's side only one point behind them heading into the weekend.

After beating Dortmund a little over a month ago, Frankfurt looked like shoo-ins to join Bayern Munich, Leipzig and Wolfsburg as Germany's representatives in next season's Champions League.

However, four successive wins has seen Dortmund move to within one point of Frankfurt and two points of Wolfsburg, with Adi Hutter's side losing to Bayer Leverkusen last time out.

Andre Silva's 25th league goal of the season ultimately proved nothing more than a consolation one, with Leon Bailey, Lucas Alario and Kerem Demirbay condemning Frankfurt to a second defeat in three matches.

Should Dortmund avoid defeat against Leipzig, Frankfurt will head into Sunday's meeting against in-form Mainz outside of the Champions League places, so Hutter will be desperate to increase his chances of completing the job ahead of his summer switch to Borussia Monchengladbach by beating Bo Svensson's side on Sunday.

Mainz 05 coach Bo Svensson reacts on April 24, 2021© Reuters

It will certainly not be an easy task for the hosts, though, with Mainz currently on an eight-match unbeaten run as they look to mathematically secure their Bundesliga survival for a 12th successive season.

Svensson has performed miracles since taking over as manager in January, guiding the club he spent seven years as a player at between 2007 and 2014 to 29 points from his 17 matches in charge.

Extrapolated across an entire season, that would put Mainz only three points behind their forthcoming opponents Frankfurt, and therefore right in the mix for a Champions League qualification spot, too.

However, having picked up only six points prior to the winter break, even a fine record like Svensson's has not proven enough to ensure Mainz's safety yet. Mainz missed an excellent chance to do so against Hertha Berlin, who had not played for over three weeks due to a COVID-19 outbreak, on Monday, drawing 1-1 in an even affair.

Pal Dardai's side have since moved five points behind Mainz after beating Freiburg 3-0 on Thursday, with Arminia Bielefeld - who are also five points behind Mainz - dropping into the relegation playoff position as a result.

FC Koln are a point further back in the first automatic relegation playoff position, so a win against Frankfurt on Sunday would almost certainly seal Mainz's survival.

Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Mainz 05 Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Eintracht Frankfurt coach Adi Hutter pictured on February 20, 2021© Reuters

Frankfurt will be without the suspended Evan N'Dicka after the defender picked up his 10th league caution of the season during the defeat to Leverkusen.

Martin Hinteregger should replace him in the back three, with Makoto Hasebe also pushing for a start.

Given their recent defeats, Hutter may be tempted to restore Amin Younes to the side in place of Luka Jovic.

Ragnar Ache and Jabez Makanda will be out for the rest of the season due to injury.

Mainz, meanwhile, will also be without a key defender in the shape of Stefan Bell after he picked up his fifth booking of the season against Hertha.

Alexander Hack is likely to replace him in Svensson's back three, with the likes of Robin Quaison and Robert Glatzel pushing for a start in attack.

Paul Nebel and Luca Kilian will miss the rest of the season due to injury.

Eintracht Frankfurt possible starting lineup:
Trapp; Tuta, Hinteregger, Hasebe; Durm, Sow, Rode, Kostic; Younes, Kamada; Silva

Mainz 05 possible starting lineup:
Zentner; St Juste, Hack, Niakhate; Da Costa, Kohr, Barreiro, Boetius, Mwene; Burkardt, Quaison


SM words green background

We say: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Mainz 05

We expect a closely fought encounter between two sides who have performed considerably above expectations since the turn of the year.

Mainz showed signs of running out of steam against Hertha on Monday, though, so Frankfurt's attacking quality could get them over the line in the end as they look to take a huge step towards qualifying for next season's Champions League.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 1-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt
79.7%
Draw
5.4%
Mainz 05
14.9%
74
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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