Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.