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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.36%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 9.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
75.36% | 14.85% | 9.79% |
Both teams to score 53.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.11% | 31.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.55% | 53.45% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.93% | 7.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.18% | 25.82% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.78% | 42.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.37% | 78.63% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 10.48% 3-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.92% 4-0 @ 6.13% 4-1 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 3.44% 5-0 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.28% 6-0 @ 1.43% 6-1 @ 1.24% 5-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.64% Total : 75.36% | 1-1 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 3.9% 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.85% | 1-2 @ 2.94% 0-1 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.04% Total : 9.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |