Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-0 (4.08%).