Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Euroborg
Groningen2 - 3Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-0 AZ
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie
We said: Groningen 0-2 Ajax
Despite the gulf in class between these two clubs, that will not necessarily lead to a straightforward afternoon for the visitors. Nevertheless, it would come as a surprise if Ajax did not prevail, potentially with a goal in either half. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Ajax |
17.53% ( 0.29) | 19.22% ( 0.21) | 63.24% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.63% ( -0.51) | 34.37% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.72% ( -0.57) | 56.28% ( 0.57) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( -0) | 32.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.64% ( -0) | 69.36% ( 0) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.62% ( -0.27) | 10.39% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.09% ( -0.61) | 33.91% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
Groningen 17.53%
Ajax 63.24%
Draw 19.22%
| Groningen | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 17.53% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.22% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 7.35% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.59% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.16% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.73% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.17% Total : 63.24% |
How you voted: Groningen vs Ajax
Groningen
11.8%Draw
11.8%Ajax
76.5%17
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3.30pm
Sep 25, 2021 5.45pm
Mar 7, 2021 11.15am
gameweek 25
Ajax
3-1
Groningen
Oct 4, 2020 11.15am
