MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:02:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Euroborg
Ajax

Groningen
2 - 3
Ajax

Kruger (39'), Duarte (87')
Pepi (9'), Bech Sorensen (72'), Musampa (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tadic (19' pen.), Brobbey (68'), Maduro (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-0 AZ
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Groningen 0-2 Ajax

Despite the gulf in class between these two clubs, that will not necessarily lead to a straightforward afternoon for the visitors. Nevertheless, it would come as a surprise if Ajax did not prevail, potentially with a goal in either half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
GroningenDrawAjax
17.53% (0.285 0.29) 19.22% (0.211 0.21) 63.24% (-0.495 -0.49)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.63% (-0.506 -0.51)34.37% (0.504 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.72% (-0.572 -0.57)56.28% (0.571 0.57)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.8% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.36% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)10.39% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.09% (-0.608 -0.61)33.91% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 17.53%
    Ajax 63.24%
    Draw 19.22%
GroningenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.79% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.8% (0.097 0.1)
2-0 @ 2.12% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 17.53%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.41% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.22%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.74% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 7.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 6.59% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.16% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 4.1% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.73% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.89% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.69% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 63.24%

How you voted: Groningen vs Ajax

Groningen
11.8%
Draw
11.8%
Ajax
76.5%
17
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 2
Ajax
6-1
Groningen
Bergwijn (4', 45', 57'), Antony (28'), Taylor (66'), Berghuis (88' pen.)
Tadic (30')
Ngonge (10')
Apr 2, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 25
Groningen
1-3
Ajax
Klaassen (45+1'), Tadic (45+6' pen.), Berghuis (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 6
Ajax
3-0
Groningen
Alvarez (40'), Antony (56'), Mazraoui (81')

Suslov (36')
Mar 7, 2021 11.15am
gameweek 25
Ajax
3-1
Groningen
Gravenberch (5'), Haller (54'), Tadic (77' pen.)
Kudus (48'), Klaassen (83')
Oct 4, 2020 11.15am
gameweek 4
Groningen
1-0
Ajax
Balk (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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