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Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
FC Utrecht

Almere City
1 - 1
Utrecht

Cathline (3')
Jacobs (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lammers (14')
ter Avest (44'), Flamingo (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-2 Almere City
Sunday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, March 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 0-1 FC Utrecht

With two of the Eredivisie's lowest-scoring teams going head-to-head, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair. That said, we are also backing the visitors to narrowly come out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawFC Utrecht
27.11% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 25.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 47.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)49.17% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)71.23% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)32.42% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)68.94% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)20.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)53.09% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 27.11%
    FC Utrecht 47.88%
    Draw 25%
Almere CityDrawFC Utrecht
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.11%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.88%

How you voted: Almere City vs Utrecht

Almere City
35.7%
Draw
21.4%
FC Utrecht
42.9%
14
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 7
Utrecht
0-2
Almere City

Flamingo (38'), Novoa (60'), Fraulo (89')
Novoa (63')
Robinet (80'), Van La Parra (89')
van Bruggen (22'), Mbe Soh (26'), Kitala (45+3'), Koopmeiners (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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