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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 81.39%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 7.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Almere City |
81.39% ( -0.57) | 11.6% ( 0.33) | 7.01% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75% ( -0.78) | 25% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.08% ( -1.02) | 44.92% ( 1.02) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.39% ( -0.23) | 4.61% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.21% ( -0.71) | 18.79% ( 0.71) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.96% ( -0.03) | 43.04% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.68% ( -0.02) | 79.32% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Almere City |
3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.21) 5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) 7-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) Other @ 5.14% Total : 81.39% | 1-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.17% Total : 11.6% | 1-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 7.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |