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Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 0
Almere City

de Jong (45', 63' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Floranus (5'), Pena (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 PSV
Wednesday, January 24 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Sittard
Wednesday, January 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Almere City

In this tie, PSV are overwhelming favourites and will view it as the ideal opportunity to bounce back from their Dutch Cup defeat to Feyenoord. We expect the home side to rack up plenty of goals, but the visitors should nick one in themselves. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 81.39%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 7.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAlmere City
81.39% (-0.574 -0.57) 11.6% (0.327 0.33) 7.01% (0.2431 0.24)
Both teams to score 54.34% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75% (-0.779 -0.78)25% (0.776 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.08% (-1.022 -1.02)44.92% (1.02 1.02)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.39% (-0.23 -0.23)4.61% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.21% (-0.71300000000001 -0.71)18.79% (0.71 0.71)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)43.04% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)79.32% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 81.39%
    Almere City 7.01%
    Draw 11.6%
PSV EindhovenDrawAlmere City
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 8.12% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 7.41% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 6.25% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.211 0.21)
5-0 @ 4.56% (-0.142 -0.14)
5-1 @ 3.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
6-0 @ 2.34% (-0.113 -0.11)
6-1 @ 1.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.62% (-0.053 -0.05)
7-0 @ 1.03% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 81.39%
1-1 @ 5.15% (0.175 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.98% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 11.6%
1-2 @ 2.17% (0.072 0.07)
0-1 @ 1.67% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 7.01%

How you voted: PSV vs Almere City

PSV Eindhoven
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Almere City
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Almere City
0-4
PSV

Akujobi (28')
Til (26'), Lozano (42'), Veerman (66'), Pepi (90+3')
Boscagli (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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