Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax2 - 0Utrecht
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Sunday, February 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, February 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Ajax 3-2 FC Utrecht
This has traditionally been viewed as a likely home win given the gulf in class between the sides, yet a potential thriller could play out on this occasion. No-one would be surprised if Utrecht ran out winners in Amsterdam, but we are going to give the benefit of the doubt to Ajax in a high-scoring game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
59.31% ( -1.19) | 20.46% ( 0.48) | 20.23% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 60.81% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.1% ( -1.19) | 35.9% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.01% ( -1.32) | 57.99% ( 1.32) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.12% ( -0.69) | 11.88% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.82% ( -1.48) | 37.18% ( 1.48) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69% ( -0.02) | 31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.7% ( -0.02) | 67.3% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 59.31%
FC Utrecht 20.23%
Draw 20.46%
| Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.49% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.69% Total : 20.23% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Utrecht
Ajax
65.5%Draw
10.3%FC Utrecht
24.1%29
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 9
Utrecht
4-3
Ajax
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
