MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 19:08:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
FC Utrecht

Excelsior
1 - 1
Utrecht

Horemans (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toornstra (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 PSV
Sunday, January 21 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 FC Utrecht

Utrecht have endured a torrid campaign in front of goal, but we are backing them to find the back of the net here en route to a share of the spoils come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Utrecht
27.53% (0.457 0.46) 24.6% (0.166 0.17) 47.87% (-0.622 -0.62)
Both teams to score 55.33% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84% (-0.403 -0.4)47.16% (0.404 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (-0.377 -0.38)69.4% (0.377 0.38)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.137 0.14)31.05% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.16 0.16)67.36% (-0.158 -0.16)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (-0.417 -0.42)19.77% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (-0.679 -0.68)51.81% (0.681 0.68)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 27.53%
    FC Utrecht 47.87%
    Draw 24.6%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Utrecht
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 6.81% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 27.53%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.1% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.36% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.87%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Utrecht

SBV Excelsior
27.8%
Draw
44.4%
FC Utrecht
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 12
Utrecht
2-2
Excelsior
Bozdogan (70'), Sagnan (90+3')
Sagnan (90+4')
Driouech (53'), Lamprou (62')
Baas (83')
Jan 25, 2023 8pm
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Utrecht
0-0
Excelsior
Klaiber (9')
Koolwijk (21'), Fortes (60'), Messaoud (95')
Nov 30, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 14
Excelsior
3-3
Utrecht
Omarsson (6'), Koolwijk (8'), Bruins (26' pen.)
Matthys (81')
Kerk (55'), Venema (61'), Gustafson (65' pen.)
Tannane (23'), van der Maarel (25'), Klaiber (26'), Janssen (59')
Klaiber (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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