Eredivisie | Gameweek 19

Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
1 - 1
Utrecht

Horemans (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toornstra (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Excelsior 3-0 Heerenveen
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 PSV
Sunday, January 21 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 FC Utrecht

Utrecht have endured a torrid campaign in front of goal, but we are backing them to find the back of the net here en route to a share of the spoils come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	FC Utrecht
27.53% ( 0.46)	24.6% ( 0.17)	47.87% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 55.33% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.84% (

-0.4)

47.16% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.61% (

-0.38)

69.4% (

0.38)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.96% (

0.14)

31.05% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.64% (

0.16)

67.36% (

-0.16)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23% (

-0.42)

19.77% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.19% (

-0.68)

51.81% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 27.53%

FC Utrecht 47.87%

Draw 24.6%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	FC Utrecht
1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 27.53%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.87%