Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 11, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
4 - 0
Sittard

Booth (21', 75'), Boussaid (70'), Lammers (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Utrecht 4-2 Volendam
Sunday, February 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Groningen 0-0 Sittard (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, February 8 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Utrecht 1-0 Fortuna Sittard

Both Utrecht and Fortuna have been far from impressive at the top end of the pitch this term, so a drab affair is on the cards here. That said, we can see the home side just about managing to get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
50% ( 0.14)	23.04% ( 0.04)	26.96% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 60.18% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.46% (

-0.31)

40.54% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.08% (

-0.32)

62.92% (

0.33)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6% (

-0.07)

16.4% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.96% (

-0.12)

46.04% (

0.13)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.98% (

-0.28)

28.02% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.33% (

-0.37)

63.67% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 50%

Fortuna Sittard 26.96%

Draw 23.03%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 50%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.96%