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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Fortuna Sittard

Utrecht
4 - 0
Sittard

Booth (21', 75'), Boussaid (70'), Lammers (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 4-2 Volendam
Sunday, February 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-0 Fortuna Sittard

Both Utrecht and Fortuna have been far from impressive at the top end of the pitch this term, so a drab affair is on the cards here. That said, we can see the home side just about managing to get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawFortuna Sittard
50% (0.136 0.14) 23.04% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 26.96% (-0.17 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.18% (-0.285 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (-0.312 -0.31)40.54% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (-0.322 -0.32)62.92% (0.328 0.33)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)16.4% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96% (-0.123 -0.12)46.04% (0.128 0.13)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (-0.282 -0.28)28.02% (0.288 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33% (-0.365 -0.37)63.67% (0.369 0.37)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 50%
    Fortuna Sittard 26.96%
    Draw 23.03%
FC UtrechtDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 26.96%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Sittard

FC Utrecht
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sittard
0-0
Utrecht
Belkheir (70')
Descotte (77')
Mar 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 24
Utrecht
1-2
Sittard
Douvikas (59')
Bistrovic (68'), Noslin (87')
Sep 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 5
Sittard
3-4
Utrecht
Guth (67'), Yilmaz (82' pen.), Noslin (90+6')
Tirpan (71')
Dost (64'), Douvikas (71' pen., 77', 86')
Toornstra (81'), van der Maarel (83')
Apr 9, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 26
Utrecht
1-1
Sittard
Flemming (61')
Duarte (30'), Gladon (90+5')
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Sittard
2-2
Utrecht
Cox (23'), Flemming (77')
Cox (33')
Mahi (21'), Van de Streek (50')
van de Streek (45'), Maher (70'), Janssen (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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