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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
39.31% ( -0.18) | 24.73% ( 0.13) | 35.96% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.51% ( -0.62) | 44.49% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.14% ( -0.6) | 66.86% ( 0.61) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.46% ( -0.36) | 22.54% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.88% ( -0.53) | 56.12% ( 0.54) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( -0.26) | 24.3% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.33% ( -0.37) | 58.68% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 35.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |