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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Fortuna Sittard

Almere City
0 - 0
Sittard


van La Parra (82'), Barbet (84')
FT

Siovas (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 1-2 Sittard
Wednesday, January 17 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Almere City 1-1 Fortuna Sittard

There is little to choose between the sides, and this weekend's clash could easily go either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawFortuna Sittard
39.31% (-0.177 -0.18) 24.73% (0.132 0.13) 35.96% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.64% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.617 -0.62)44.49% (0.622 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-0.601 -0.6)66.86% (0.605 0.61)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)22.54% (0.361 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.535 -0.53)56.12% (0.54 0.54)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)24.3% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (-0.37 -0.37)58.68% (0.375 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 39.31%
    Fortuna Sittard 35.96%
    Draw 24.73%
Almere CityDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.31%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.146 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 35.96%

How you voted: Almere City vs Sittard

Almere City
53.6%
Draw
28.6%
Fortuna Sittard
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2024 7pm
Round of 16
Almere City
1-2
Sittard
Hansen (90+2')
Sierhuis (25', 42')
Aug 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Sittard
2-1
Almere City
Akujobi (8' og.), Rosier (24')
Rosier (50'), Sierhuis (90+6'), Robberechts (90+2')
Robinet (33')
Floranus (12'), Koopmeiners (26')
Mar 30, 2018 7pm
Almere City
1-4
Sittard
MacDonald (51')
van Buuren (85')
Vidigal (2', 6', 26'), Stokkers (35')
Sep 1, 2017 7pm
Sittard
2-1
Almere City
Askovski (4', 43')
Askovski (2'), Malsa (88')
Valpoort (80')
Owusu (31'), Salasiwa (45'), Mirani (55'), Mac-Intosch (77'), Valpoort (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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