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Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 0
Almere City

van Amersfoort (15', 70'), van Beek (40')
Haye (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Royo (39'), van Bruggen (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Sittard
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-5 Heracles
Sunday, November 26 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 3-1 Almere City

Heerenveen have been prolific in front of their home supporters recently, scoring 11 goals in their last three matches at Abe Lenstra Stadion, and we expect that theme to continue on Friday. Almere's confidence would have been severely knocked by the loss to Hercales last time out, and we cannot envisage them recovering in time to earn a result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAlmere City
60.68% (-0.102 -0.1) 20.47% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 18.84% (0.087 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (0.071999999999996 0.07)38.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (0.076999999999998 0.08)60.4% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)12.18% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.16% (-0.012 -0.01)37.83% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (0.12899999999999 0.13)33.68% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (0.143 0.14)70.33% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 60.68%
    Almere City 18.84%
    Draw 20.47%
HeerenveenDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 60.68%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 18.84%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Almere City

Heerenveen
71.0%
Draw
29.0%
Almere City
0.0%
31
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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