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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Yanmar Stadion
Vitesse

Almere City
5 - 0
Vitesse

Cathline (28'), Kitala (43'), Jacobs (82'), Pena (87'), Robinet (90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 4-1 Almere City
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Heracles
Sunday, December 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 Vitesse

Given the defensive records of both sides heading into this one, we expect neither of them to come away with a clean sheet. We can also see the spoils being shared at the end of the 90 minutes, with the teams having to make do with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawVitesse
34.62% (3.268 3.27) 24.78% (1.619 1.62) 40.6% (-4.88 -4.88)
Both teams to score 58.25% (-4.634 -4.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.1% (-6.577 -6.58)44.9% (6.585 6.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.75% (-6.65 -6.65)67.26% (6.658 6.66)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (-1.223 -1.22)25.25% (1.231 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (-1.718 -1.72)60% (1.726 1.73)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-4.838 -4.84)22.08% (4.844 4.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-7.888 -7.89)55.44% (7.896 7.9)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 34.62%
    Vitesse 40.6%
    Draw 24.78%
Almere CityDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.573 0.57)
1-0 @ 7.68% (1.769 1.77)
2-0 @ 5.28% (1.069 1.07)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.421 0.42)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.62%
1-1 @ 11.59% (1.21 1.21)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.485 -0.49)
0-0 @ 5.58% (1.435 1.44)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.373 -0.37)
0-1 @ 8.42% (1.142 1.14)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.941 -0.94)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.548 -0.55)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.781 -0.78)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.686 -0.69)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.438 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.531 -0.53)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.6%

How you voted: Almere City vs Vitesse

Almere City
26.7%
Draw
33.3%
Vitesse
40.0%
15
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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