Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Eredivisie
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
for
We said: AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Almere City
AZ Alkmaar hit a bump in the road last time out, but we can see them serving up an immediate response with a comfortable win this time around, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.65%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 6.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Almere City |
80.65% ( -0.16) | 12.99% ( 0.13) | 6.37% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( -0.57) | 35.88% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.03% ( -0.63) | 57.97% ( 0.64) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.11% ( -0.15) | 6.89% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.68% ( -0.41) | 25.33% ( 0.41) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.63% ( -0.34) | 53.37% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.12% ( -0.22) | 86.88% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.78% Total : 80.64% | 1-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 12.99% | 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.12% Total : 6.37% |
