MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:35:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Yanmar Stadion
Heracles Almelo

Almere City
0 - 5
Heracles

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sankoh (4', 64', 87'), Nankishi (71', 78')
Roosken (19'), Ouahim (62'), Wieckhoff (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 4-1 Heracles
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 2-2 Heracles

These sides were in contrasting forms ahead of the international break, with the hosts unbeaten in five while the visitors were winless over the same period. For Heracles, the break could not have come at a better time, as it would have given them a chance to reset and address their shortcomings heading into the busy period. We are expecting a free-flowing match here but feel that these sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawHeracles
36.86% (-0.892 -0.89) 24.23% (0.3 0.3) 38.91% (0.596 0.6)
Both teams to score 60.59% (-1.177 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.01% (-1.511 -1.51)41.99% (1.515 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.6% (-1.536 -1.54)64.4% (1.538 1.54)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (-1.131 -1.13)22.68% (1.134 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68% (-1.706 -1.71)56.32% (1.71 1.71)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.369 -0.37)21.64% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.572 -0.57)54.76% (0.57400000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 36.86%
    Heracles 38.91%
    Draw 24.22%
Almere CityDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.28% (0.249 0.25)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 36.86%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.325 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.419 0.42)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.259 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.91%

How you voted: Almere City vs Heracles

Almere City
62.5%
Draw
37.5%
Heracles
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Heracles
1-1
Almere City
Laursen (45+3')
Pena (32')
Oct 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 13
Almere City
3-2
Heracles
Resink (48'), Alhaft (49'), Jacobs (67')
Armenteros (5'), Hansson (25')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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