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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
41.84% (![]() | 24.41% (![]() | 33.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.6% (![]() | 43.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.2% (![]() | 65.8% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% (![]() | 20.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.44% (![]() | 53.56% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% (![]() | 25.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% (![]() | 59.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 8.88% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.85% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.23% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |