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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
63.85% ( -0.01) | 19.48% ( 0) | 16.67% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.33% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.76% ( -0.01) | 37.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.55% ( -0.01) | 59.46% ( 0.02) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.94% ( -0) | 11.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.58% ( -0.01) | 35.43% ( 0.02) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% ( 0) | 35.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.7% ( 0) | 72.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 63.85% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.1% 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 16.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |