MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:41:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Fortuna Sittard

Nijmegen
4 - 1
Sittard

Mattsson (33', 70'), Ogawa (45+2'), Hansen (75')
Proper (16'), Tavsan (42'), Schone (86')
Hoedemakers (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sierhuis (69')
Guth (53'), Pinto (83')
Noslin (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, December 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last Game: Sittard 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, December 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 Fortuna Sittard

 NEC were impressive in their away wins at Alkmaar and Zwolle over the past week, meaning the hosts on Friday will be confident of recording another maximum. Sittard have been woeful on the road, and despite back-to-back victories at the start of the month, we cannot imagine the visitors earning anything from their trip to Goffertstadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFortuna Sittard
52.01% (0.263 0.26) 22.55% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 25.43% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.39% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.4% (0.288 0.29)39.59% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (0.3 0.3)61.94% (-0.299 -0.3)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65% (0.193 0.19)15.35% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.89% (0.361 0.36)44.11% (-0.36 -0.36)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.024999999999991 0.02)28.66% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.031000000000006 0.03)64.47% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    NEC 52.01%
    Fortuna Sittard 25.43%
    Draw 22.55%
NECDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 25.43%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Sittard

NEC
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Fortuna Sittard
9.1%
22
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> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sittard
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> Preview
Feb 23, 2018 7pm
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Groeneveld (82')
Sturing (57'), Dijkstra (63')
Cantwell (78')
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306
> Eredivisie Full Table


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