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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Heerenveen |
28% ( 0.43) | 23.66% ( 0.22) | 48.34% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 58.89% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.37% ( -0.69) | 42.63% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.96% ( -0.69) | 65.04% ( 0.69) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.64% ( -0.05) | 28.35% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.91% ( -0.06) | 64.09% ( 0.06) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.19% ( -0.51) | 17.81% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.47% ( -0.89) | 48.53% ( 0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.73% Total : 48.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |