MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:50:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen

AZ
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Pavlidis (11', 59', 76')
Bazoer (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brouwers (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heerenveen

Nothing looks likely to stop AZ in their current form, and this should be another routine success before looking ahead to the visit of Aston Villa. Despite ending their five-game losing run before the break, Heerenveen are unlikely to spring a big surprise and could well slip further down the table come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
73.34% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01) 16.02% (0.0040000000000013 0) 10.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)42.93% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 73.33%
    Heerenveen 10.64%
    Draw 16.02%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 9.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.75%
4-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 2.04%
6-0 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.02%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 73.33%
1-1 @ 7.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.02%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3%
0-2 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.64%

How you voted: AZ vs Heerenveen

AZ Alkmaar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Heerenveen
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
1-1
Heerenveen
Mous (75' og.)
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Heerenveen
0-2
AZ
De Wit (33'), Reijnders (46')
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-0
Heerenveen
De Wit (5'), Aboukhlal (88')
Pavlidis (24'), Milos (41'), Martins Indi (45+1'), Aboukhlal (89')
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
Heerenveen
3-2
AZ
Van Hooijdonk (58'), Sarr (90'), Halilovic (90+4')
van Hooijdonk (4'), van Ewijk (20'), Haye (68')
Evjen (59'), Pavlidis (65')
Karlsson (79')
Apr 23, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
2-1
Heerenveen
Karlsson (44'), Reijnders (87')
Clasie (13')
Sarr (7')
Zaal (84'), Mulder (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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