MX23RW : Tuesday, May 13 11:19:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen

AZ
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Pavlidis (11', 59', 76')
Bazoer (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brouwers (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heerenveen

Nothing looks likely to stop AZ in their current form, and this should be another routine success before looking ahead to the visit of Aston Villa. Despite ending their five-game losing run before the break, Heerenveen are unlikely to spring a big surprise and could well slip further down the table come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
73.34% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01) 16.02% (0.0040000000000013 0) 10.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)42.93% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 73.33%
    Heerenveen 10.64%
    Draw 16.02%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 9.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.75%
4-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 2.04%
6-0 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.02%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 73.33%
1-1 @ 7.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.02%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3%
0-2 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.64%

How you voted: AZ vs Heerenveen

AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Heerenveen
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
1-1
Heerenveen
Mous (75' og.)
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Heerenveen
0-2
AZ
De Wit (33'), Reijnders (46')
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-0
Heerenveen
De Wit (5'), Aboukhlal (88')
Pavlidis (24'), Milos (41'), Martins Indi (45+1'), Aboukhlal (89')
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
Heerenveen
3-2
AZ
Van Hooijdonk (58'), Sarr (90'), Halilovic (90+4')
van Hooijdonk (4'), van Ewijk (20'), Haye (68')
Evjen (59'), Pavlidis (65')
Karlsson (79')
Apr 23, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
2-1
Heerenveen
Karlsson (44'), Reijnders (87')
Clasie (13')
Sarr (7')
Zaal (84'), Mulder (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax32235463303374
2PSV EindhovenPSV32234596375973
3Feyenoord32198574363865
4FC UtrechtUtrecht32188661441762
5FC Twente32159860441654
6AZ AlkmaarAZ32158954342053
7Go Ahead Eagles32139105350348
8Heerenveen32117144056-1640
9Fortuna SittardSittard32116153653-1739
10Sparta RotterdamSparta32911123739-238
11Groningen32108143849-1138
12Heracles32911124057-1738
13NECNijmegen32107154645137
14PEC Zwolle32811133950-1135
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3288163354-2132
16Willem II3267193253-2125
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3257203969-3022
18Almere CityAlmere City3248202162-4120


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