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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Cambuur

AZ
2 - 1
Cambuur

Pavlidis (40'), Goes (73')
Mijnans (21'), Clasie (67'), Hatzidiakos (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Johnsen (85' pen.)
Hoedemakers (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 AZ
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 19 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Cambuur

AZ have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large extent, and the odds are firmly in their favour to emerge victorious once again. We expect the hosts to emerge triumphant in comfortable fashion come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 11.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawCambuur
72.37% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1) 16.61% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 11.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.05% (-0.161 -0.16)36.95% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.173 -0.17)59.13% (0.169 0.17)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.08% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)8.92% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.53% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)30.47% (0.148 0.15)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.53% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)43.47% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (-0.032 -0.03)79.69% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 72.36%
    Cambuur 11.02%
    Draw 16.61%
AZ AlkmaarDrawCambuur
2-0 @ 11.32% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 72.36%
1-1 @ 7.81% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 16.61%
1-2 @ 3.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 11.02%

How you voted: AZ vs Cambuur

AZ Alkmaar
90.7%
Draw
2.3%
Cambuur
7.0%
43
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 3.45pm
Cambuur
0-1
AZ

Paulissen (23')
Jacobs (55')
Clasie (90')
Milos (12')
Jan 22, 2022 7pm
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
Cambuur
1-3
AZ
Uldrikis (72')
Bangura (25'), Schouten (58'), Sambissa (79')
Bangura (88')
De Wit (17'), Wijndal (33'), Clasie (60')
Gudmundsson (39'), Wijndal (86'), Aboukhlal (90+4')
Mar 2, 2017 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
AZ
0-0
Cambuur
AZ win 3-2 on penalties

van Eijden (50'), Weghorst (95')
van Eijden (112')

Bakker (41'), van de Streek (65'), Tissoudali (102'), Schilder (113')
Jan 27, 2016 5.30pm
AZ
3-1
Cambuur
Janssen (2', 21'), Van Overeem (13')
Barto (72')
Gregory Monteiro Alvangera (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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