MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:04:30| >> :120:4765:4765:
AZ Alkmaar
KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Feb 7, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
FC Utrecht

AZ
1 - 2
Utrecht

Karlsson (86')
Pavlidis (80'), Milos (105+2')
FT
(aet)
Viergever (58'), Maeda (93')
Klaiber (86'), Maeda (110'), Barkas (118')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 1-1 AZ
Saturday, February 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, February 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We say: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Utrecht

Both sides have shown that they have goals in them so we expect neither to come away with a clean sheet. That said, we are tipping AZ to narrowly edge their visitors and get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.98%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.2%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%).

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
55.98% (0.126 0.13) 20.98% (-0.067 -0.07) 23.04% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 63.25% (0.175 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.4% (0.262 0.26)34.6% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.46% (0.292 0.29)56.54% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (0.123 0.12)12.4% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.72% (0.254 0.25)38.27% (-0.252 -0.25)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.101 0.1)27.8% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.128 0.13)63.39% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 55.98%
    FC Utrecht 23.04%
    Draw 20.98%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.011 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.98%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: AZ vs Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar
84.1%
Draw
7.9%
FC Utrecht
7.9%
63
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
AZ
5-5
Utrecht
Dekker (20'), Pavlidis (31', 34', 78'), De Wit (70')
Douvikas (12', 16', 65'), Viergever (41'), Van de Streek (80')
Viergever (90+2')
Oct 9, 2022 1.30pm
May 11, 2022 7pm
Utrecht
2-2
AZ
Van de Streek (37'), Douvikas (90+4')
van Overeem (57')
Pavlidis (12', 15')
de Wit (69')
Oct 17, 2021 11.15am
AZ
5-1
Utrecht
Pavlidis (6'), Karlsson (12'), De Wit (40', 56'), Gudmundsson (86' pen.)
Maduro (90')
Jan 27, 2021 5.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!