MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 07:07:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard

AZ
3 - 1
Sittard

de Wit (4'), Navarro (24' og.), Pavlidis (56')
Vanheusden (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yilmaz (11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 AZ
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-2 PSV
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Fortuna Sittard

On the back of holding PSV, Sittard will have every confidence that they can do the same with AZ. However, sense an opportunity to capitalise on Feyenoord and Ajax playing each other this weekend, we are backing the home side to run out convincing winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
69.55% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 18% (0.221 0.22) 12.45% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-1.323 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (-1.472 -1.47)39.71% (1.473 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93% (-1.547 -1.55)62.07% (1.548 1.55)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.69% (-0.41 -0.41)10.31% (0.4101 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.27% (-0.94099999999999 -0.94)33.73% (0.942 0.94)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (-1.209 -1.21)42.89% (1.209 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.8% (-1.038 -1.04)79.2% (1.04 1.04)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 69.54%
    Fortuna Sittard 12.45%
    Draw 18%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.498 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.65% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 69.54%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.155 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18%
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 12.45%

How you voted: AZ vs Sittard

AZ Alkmaar
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 3.45pm
Dec 2, 2021 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Sittard
Pavlidis (41'), Karlsson (51')
Hatzidiakos (57')
Flemming (9')
Musaba (13')
May 8, 2021 7pm
AZ
1-0
Sittard
Gudmundsson (29' pen.)
Aboukhlal (31'), Bizot (90+3'), Midtsjo (90+5')
Leeuwin (49')

van Osch (27')
Sep 26, 2020 5.45pm
Sittard
3-3
AZ
Flemming (9', 90+6'), Hansson (79')
Rota (87'), Smeets (90+5')
De Wit (23'), Koopmeiners (52'), Boadu (69')
Hatzidiakos (37')
Apr 25, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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